DATA DETECTIVE:
Tracking the New Zealand Economic Statistics |
| |
|
Last Release |
Next Release |
| |
Economic Measure |
Period |
Result |
Interest Rate Impact Actual |
Next Release Date |
Forecast |
Interest Rate Impact Forecast |
| |
High Importance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Quarterly |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
Real GDP, s.a. |
Q3 |
0.8% |
 |
22 Mar |
0.6% |
|
| 2 |
CPI Inflation |
Q4 |
-0.3% |
 |
19 Apr |
0.4% |
|
| 3 |
Unemployment Rate, s.a. |
Q3 |
6.6% |
|
9 Feb |
6.5% |
|
| 4 |
Employment Growth, s.a. |
Q3 |
0.2% |
|
9 Feb |
0.3% |
|
| 5 |
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index |
Q4 |
101.3 |
|
Mid Mar |
105 |
|
| 6 |
Labour Cost Index, Private Sector |
Q4 |
0.7% |
|
1 May |
0.6% |
|
| 7 |
NZIER QSBO Business Confidence |
Q4 |
-3% |
|
Early Apr |
8% |
|
| 8 |
NZIER QSBO Capacity Utilisation |
Q4 |
90.2% |
|
Early Apr |
90.5% |
|
| 9 |
Retail Sales Volumes, s.a. |
Q3 |
2.2% |
|
15 Feb |
+1.0% |
|
| |
Monthly |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 10 |
Building Consents. excl apt (Annual) |
Dec |
6.2% |
|
29 Feb |
9.5% |
|
| 11 |
Housing Credit Growth, RBNZ |
Dec |
1.2% |
|
29 Feb |
1.1% |
|
| 12 |
Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence |
Jan |
116.1 |
|
16 Feb |
119 |
|
| 13 |
REINZ Median House Prices (Annual) |
Dec |
0.9% |
|
Mid Feb |
2.9% |
|
| 14 |
Electronic Card Transactions. Retail s.a. |
Dec |
-0.3% |
|
10 Feb |
0.2% |
|
| 15 |
Net migration (Annual) |
Dec |
-1,860 |
|
5 Mar |
-3,100 |
|
| 16 |
NBNZ Business Survey Firms own Activity |
Dec |
25.7 |
|
29 Feb |
21.5 |
|
| 17 |
NBNZ Business Survey Inflation Expectation |
Dec |
2.99% |
|
29 Feb |
2.95% |
|
| 18 |
NBNZ Business Survey Pricing Intentions |
Dec |
17.3 |
|
29 Feb |
16.5 |
|
| 19 |
ANZ World Commodity Prices |
Jan |
1.2% |
|
1 Mar |
+0.5%
|
|
| 20 |
PMI Manufacturing Confidence Index, s.a. |
Dec |
51.9 |
|
29 Feb |
53.0 |
|
| 21 |
Govt. Fiscal Balance** (3 months ended) bn |
Nov |
-NZD4.5 |
|
29 Feb |
-NZD5.7 |
|
| |
Market Indicators |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 22 |
NZD TWI (Average) |
Jan
|
71.2 |
|
Feb
|
72.0
|
|
| 23 |
Oil Prices (Dubai 1 mth) – USD average |
Jan
|
109.8 |
|
Feb
|
112.0
|
|
| 24 |
US 10 Year Govt. Bond Yields average |
Jan
|
1.93% |
|
Feb
|
2.00%
|
|
| |
|
|
|
0 5
19 |
|
|
0 0
24 |
| |
Lower Importance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Quarterly |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
Westpac Employment Confidence Index |
Q4
|
99.6
|
|
Late Mar |
104 |
|
| 2 |
PPI Input Inflation |
Q3 |
0.6% |
|
20 Feb |
0.5% |
|
| 3 |
PPI Output Inflation |
Q3 |
0.2% |
|
20 Feb |
0.8% |
|
| 4 |
Current Account Balance (Annual) bn |
Q3 |
-NZD4.6 |
|
21 Mar |
-NZD6.0 |
|
| 5 |
Export/Import Prices – Terms of trade |
Q3 |
-0.6% |
|
1 Mar |
-1.5% |
|
| 6 |
Merchandise Export Volumes, s.a. |
Q3 |
-0.7% |
|
1 Mar |
-0.5% |
|
| 7 |
Merchandise Import Volumes, s.a. |
Q3
|
+2.7% |
|
1 Mar |
+1.0% |
|
| 8 |
Manufacturing Sales Volumes, s.a. |
Q3 |
-1.4% |
|
8 Mar |
-0.5% |
|
| 9 |
Wholesale Trade Sales, s.a. |
Q3 |
-2.2% |
|
7 Mar |
+1.5% |
|
| |
Monthly |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 10 |
NBNZ Business Confidence |
Dec |
16.9 |
|
29 Feb |
14.5 |
|
| 11 |
Merchandise Trade Balance (Annual) bn |
Dec |
NZD1.11 |
|
27 Feb |
NZD1.20 |
|
| |
|
|
|
0 0
11 |
|
|
0 0
11 |
*s.a. denotes seasonally adjusted
**OBERAC - Operating Balance Excluding Revaluations and Accounting Policy Changes
(Operating Balance less unrealised gains of the NZS Fund, GSF, EQC and ACC).